Load Forecast Development Process

The processes for development and implementation of the PJM forecasts are maintained in this section along with Manual 19: Load Forecasting and Analysis WEB | PDF. The normalized peak and allocations for the past several planning periods are also maintained here along with the current Load Forecast Report, PJM Entity Forecast and Load Management historical data.

Forecasts & Reports

Date
5 Coincident Peaks & Weather Normalized Zonal Peaks - Summer
2018 | 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 PDF 
 
Load Forecast
2022: Report PDF | Data XLS
Previous Reports ZIP
 
12.30.2021
12.30.2021
Load Forecasting Model Whitepaper - 2016 PDF
 
2022 Mid-Year Update - Informational Only XLS
7.29.2022

Supplemental Materials

Date
Weather Normalized Peaks XLS
12.30.2021
Hourly PJM Unrestricted Load with Solar Addbacks 1998-2021 XLS
12.30.2021

2022

 
Load Forecast Supplement PDF 
1.5.2022
Model Accuracy PDF
12.30.2021
Non-Weather Sensitive Load
Estimated History XLS
Forecast Results XLS
 
12.30.2021
12.30.2021
Distributed Solar Forecast Data XLS 
12.30.2021
Average Distributed Solar Capacity Factors XLS 1.18.2022
Sector Model
Residential XLS
Commercial XLS
Industrial XLS
Forecast Adjustments XLS
End-Use Indices XLS
 
12.30.2021
12.30.2021
12.30.2021
12.30.2021
12.30.2021
Forecast Assumptions
Economic Inputs PDF
End-Use Inputs PDF
Weather Variables XLS

12.30.2021
12.30.2021
12.30.2021
Final Model
Statistical Appendix XLS
Model Residuals XLS

12.30.2021
12.30.2021

Interruptible Load Resources

Date
Weather Standards for Demand Response Certification PDF
2.24.2022
Peak Shaving Adjustment Plan Template XLS 8.25.2021
Historical Load Management Events XLS
11.22.2022